This market has been impacted by the injury crisis in Newcastle, and Chelsea is now the 29/20 favourite with Sky Bet. The price is thin to me, but I still think the team news angle is worth betting on. If Alejandro Garnacho is starting at right-back in Newcastle then that player will be put under a lot of pressure.
Lewis Miley looks set to fill in on the left side. However, at Sky Bet’s 5/1 odds to be booked, it’s not a price which is commensurate with the challenge he faces. Garnacho can be a real stress for defenders when he’s on form.
Garnacho, at Manchester United since the start the 23/24 Premier League, has drawn a card approximately every 206 seconds. It’s not an accident that Garnacho is a top-tier attacker. The narrative that Burnley is a blunt, toothless team who are just happy to compete still exists when they travel away from home. When you look at Bournemouth’s defensive statistics, the trip to the south-coast looks more open than its prices would suggest.
Andoni Iraola and his team have conceded 21 times in the last nine matches. This is not due to a series of freak results or red card chaos. The problem is structural, with the centre-backs not being able to defend as effectively one-on-one as Dean Huijsen or Illia Zbarnyi.
Burnley scoring over 1.5 goals at Sky Bet is 100/30.
SCORE PREDICTION : 2-2I’m going to go back to the source and take on Brighton at this spot, because the well still has a lot of value. Brighton’s fluid and beautiful patterns are not suited to teams that play direct and turn. Under Fabian Hurzeler they have won 19 out of 36 Premier League matches when their opponent has played less than 15 per cent passes. Sunderland is the fifth best Premier League team in terms of long passes this season. They are likely to play a style that will cause Brighton problems. The away team can be backed at 6/5 by Sky Bet for the double chance. City Win the card race at 7/2 Sky…
2025-12-18 21:00:00
