Our football betting expert Jones Knows provides his insight across the midweek card of Premier League fixtures.Chelsea vs Leeds, Tuesday 7.30pmOne of my favourite betting angles this season is centre-forwards committing fouls on centre-backs.
This season’s Premier League is a bruising product to watch. The data and the eye test are telling the same story in that the league has tilted back towards directness with far more emphasis on winning first contact. And when that happens, centre-forwards don’t just score goals, they start giving away fouls.
The result? Centre-backs are being fouled more often than the market expects.Joao Pedro has come to life under Liam Rosenior, putting in some electric performances as the central striker where he’s also been making a healthy number of fouls. In six starts as the centre-forward under the new boss. he’s made eight fouls. Joe Rodon is in the firing line then when it comes to fouls drawn where he is a bulky 4/1 with Sky Bet to be fouled +2 times.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1Everton vs Bournemouth, Tuesday 7.30pmEverton midfielder James Garner looks a strong play to hit +2 fouls in this one at 11/4 with Sky Bet. Garner has hit this mark in 10 of his 20 starts in central midfield this season, showing he’s no stranger to getting his foot in at key moments.
Bournemouth’s Alex Scott, meanwhile, has been a magnet for fouls, drawing 14 in his last eight appearances. The battle between Garner and Scott in the middle of the park should see the Everton man commit a couple of challenges as he tries to disrupt Scott’s rhythm.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: James Garner +2 fouls committed (11/4 with Sky Bet)Tottenham vs Newcastle, Tuesday 7.30pmJust two wins in 16 Premier League games has left Tottenham a mere six points from safety and suddenly flirting with the drop.Sky Bet aren’t messing about either. Spurs are now just 10/1 to go down.If they don’t find form fast and West Ham keep winning, that relegation scrap could get very real indeed. This is getting serious.
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Thomas Frank’s Spurs are now just 10/1 to be relegated
Spurs are easily swerved here at 19/10 with Sky Bet too having won just one of their last 11 Premier League home matches.Meanwhile, when the chips are down Eddie Howe usually delivers a result for Newcastle and he’ll be using the frustration within the home fanbase as a weapon in the hope…
2026-02-09 23:20:00
